Test set Target encoding with the label mean - encoding

I found that both train and test set target encoding with label mean should be done based on train set target values so that we do not leak train set information into test set.
I am performing target encoding over my dataset based on the train set label means, but since the data set is time series and one of the variables to encode is "Year", the last two years of my data goes to test set and does not get the encoded values, results in NA. How should we encode those values in test set that are not present in train set.

Well. After no body answered this question and I worked around the problem. I found the solution. The answer is that it is not possible to do target encoding for the "Year" feature in time series problem, since years are identical and there may be no characteristics repeated from previous years, in contrast with "Mount" or "Week Number" features. So, one of the better ways is to do is One-hot encoding. I have to mention that, this problem is valid only for the cases where the date feature is considered to be a categorical attribute.

Related

What's the point to have a UNK token for out of vocabulary words during decoding?

First of all, I know this question is kind of off-topic, but I have already tried to ask elsewhere but got no response.
Adding a UNK token to the vocabulary is a conventional way to handle oov words in tasks of NLP. It is totally understandable to have it for encoding, but what's the point to have it for decoding? I mean you would never expect your decoder to generate a UNK token during prediction, right?
Depending on how you preprocess your training data, you might need the UNK during training. Even if you use BPE or other subword segmentation, OOV can appear in the training data, usually some weird UTF-8 stuff, fragments of alphabets, you are not interested in at all, etc.
For example, if you take WMT training data for English-German translation, do BPE and take the vocabulary, you vocabulary will contain thousands of Chinese characters that occur exactly once in the training data. Even if you keep them in the vocabulary, the model has no chance to learn anything about them, not even to copy them. It makes sense to represent them as UNKs.
Of course, what you usually do at the inference time is that you prevent the model predict UNK tokens, UNK is always incorrect.
I have used it one time in the following situation:
I had a preprocessed word2vec(glove.6b.50d.txt) and I was outputting an embedded vector, in order to transform it into a word I used cosine similarity based on all vectors in the word2vec if the most similar vector was the I would output it.
Maybe I'm just guessing it here, but what I think might happen under the hoods is that it predicts based on previous words(e.g. it predicts the word that appeared 3 iterations ago) and if that word is the neural net outputs it.

How to predict word using trained CBOW

I have a question about CBOW prediction. Suppose my job is to use 3 surrounding words w(t-3), w(t-2), w(t-1)as input to predict one target word w(t). Once the model is trained and I want to predict a missing word after a sentence. Does this model only work for a sentence with four words which the first three are known and the last is unknown? If I have a sentence in 10 words. The first nine words are known, can I use 9 words as input to predict the last missing word in that sentence?
Word2vec CBOW mode typically uses symmetric windows around a target word. But it simply averages the (current in-training) word-vectors for all words in the window to find the 'inputs' for the prediction neural-network. Thus, it is tolerant of asymmetric windows – if there are fewer words are available on either side, fewer words on that side are used (and perhaps even zero on that side, for words at the front/end of a text).
Additionally, during each training example, it doesn't always use the maximum-window specified, but some random-sized window up-to the specified size. So for window=5, it will sometimes use just 1 on either side, and other times 2, 3, 4, or 5. This is done to effectively overweight closer words.
Finally and most importantly for your question, word2vec doesn't really do a full-prediction during training of "what exact word does the model say should be heat this target location?" In either the 'hierarchical softmax' or 'negative-sampling' variants, such an exact prediction can be expensive, requiring calculations of neural-network output-node activation levels proportionate to the size of the full corpus vocabulary.
Instead, it does the much-smaller number-of-calculations required to see how strongly the neural-network is predicting the actual target word observed in the training data, perhaps in contrast to a few other words. In hierarchical-softmax, this involves calculating output nodes for a short encoding of the one target word – ignoring all other output nodes encoding other words. In negative-sampling, this involves calculating the one distinct output node for the target word, plus a few output nodes for other randomly-chosen words (the 'negative' examples).
In neither case does training know if this target word is being predicted in preference over all other words – because it's not taking the time to evaluate all others words. It just looks at the current strength-of-outputs for a real example's target word, and nudges them (via back-propagation) to be slightly stronger.
The end result of this process is the word-vectors that are usefully-arranged for other purposes, where similar words are close to each other, and even certain relative directions and magnitudes also seem to match human judgements of words' relationships.
But the final word-vectors, and model-state, might still be just mediocre at predicting missing words from texts – because it was only ever nudged to be better on individual examples. You could theoretically compare a model's predictions for every possible target word, and thus force-create a sort of ranked-list of predicted-words – but that's more expensive than anything needed for training, and prediction of words like that isn't the usual downstream application of sets of word-vectors. So indeed most word2vec libraries don't even include any interface methods for doing full target-word prediction. (For example, the original word2vec.c from Google doesn't.)
A few versions ago, the Python gensim library added an experimental method for prediction, [predict_output_word()][1]. It only works for negative-sampling mode, and it doesn't quite handle window-word-weighting the same way as is done in training. You could give it a try, but don't be surprised if the results aren't impressive. As noted above, making actual predictions of words isn't the usual real goal of word2vec-training. (Other more stateful text-analysis, even just large co-occurrence tables, might do better at that. But they might not force word-vectors into interesting constellations like word2vec.)

RapidMiner: Ability to classify based off user set support threshold?

I am have built a small text analysis model that is classifying small text files as either good, bad, or neutral. I was using a Support-Vector Machine as my classifier. However, I was wondering if instead of classifying all three I could classify into either Good or Bad but if the support for that text file is below .7 or some user specified threshold it would classify that text file as neutral. I know this isn't looked at as the best way of doing this, I am just trying to see what would happen if I took a different approach.
The operator Drop Uncertain Predictions might be what you want.
After you have applied your model to some test data, the resulting example set will have a prediction and two new attributes called confidence(Good) and confidence(Bad). These confidences are between 0 and 1 and for the two class case they will sum to 1 for each example within the example set. The highest confidence dictates the value of the prediction.
The Drop Uncertain Predictions operator requires a min confidence parameter and will set the prediction to missing if the maximum confidence it finds is below this value (you can also have different confidences for different class values for more advanced investigations).
You could then use the Replace Missing Values operator to change all missing predictions to be a text value of your choice.

running NN software with my own data

New with Matlab.
When I try to load my own date using the NN pattern recognition app window, I can load the source data, but not the target (it is never on the drop down list). Both source and target are in the same directory. Source is 5000 observations with 400 vars per observation and target can take on 10 different values (recognizing digits). Any Ideas?
Before you do anything with your own data you might want to try out the example data sets available in the toolbox. That should make many problems easier to find later on because they definitely work, so you can see what's wrong with your code.
Regarding your actual question: Without more details, e.g. what your matrices contain and what their dimensions are, it's hard to help you. In your case some of the problems mentioned here might be similar to yours:
http://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/answers/17531-problem-with-targets-in-nprtool
From what I understand about nprtool your targets have to consist of a matrix with only one 1 (for the correct class) in either row or column (depending on the input matrix), so make sure that's the case.

Mahout: Why is using setProbes() having this affect?

I'm using mahout 0.7 to do some classification. I have an encoder for a continuous variable
ContinuousValueEncoder durationPlanEncoder = new ContinuousValueEncoder("duration_plan");
The feature associated with this encoder is a number of days and can range from about 6 to 16.
I'm using an OnlineLogisticRegression model and I use the encoder to train it:
durationPlanEncoder.addToVector(null, <duration_plan double val>, trainDataVector);
For simplicity (since i'm trying to understand this whole classification thing while also learning Mahout), i am using 2 variables: 1) a categorical variable with 6 categories -- one of which ("dev") always predicts the =1 category; and 2) this "duration_plan" variable.
What i expect to find is that, when i give the classifier test data that consists of the category "dev" and a "duration_plan" value, the accuracy of the classifier will increase as the "duration_plan" value i give it gets closer to its average value across the training data. This is not what i'm seeing, however. Instead, the accuracy of the classifier improves as the value of "duration_plan" goes to 0.0. However -- there are no training vectors with duration_plan=0.0!! Why would this be the case?
Then i modified my durationPlanEncoder as follows:
durationPlanEncoder.setProbes(2);
and the accuracy improved. It got even better when i made the number of probes 20, then 200. Why? What is setProbes() doing and is this an anomaly or is this actually how i should be doing it?
The final part of my question is to mention that, even after setting setProbes(20), changing the value of "duration_plan" in the test data has no effect on the accuracy of the classifier -- which I don't think is how it should be. If i give a value for duration_plan that doesn't even exist in any of the training data and thus is never correlated with the =1 class, i would expect the classifier to classify the test sample as =0. Right? Which makes me think i must be coding something just plain wrong. Any suggestions are appreciated.
Mahout documentation is woefully sparse.
thanks.