I am tasked to perform a prediction analysis. This requires performing a linear regression on several (~10) predictor variables and coming up with intercepts for all and a constant.
so final equation will be of this format y = c + c1x1 + c2x2 + c3x3....
Now I know that you can use fitlm function in MATLAB that is available with Statistics and Machine Learning Toolbox however at this point I don't know if we will be purchasing it. How do I perform linear regression on them ?
You can use the closed form solution of linear least squares.
C=inv(transpose(X)*X)*transpose(X)*y
In the above, make the first row of X all ones, and the following rows are x1, x2,...
C will contain the corresponding constants. The first entry in C is c.
From: https://www.mathworks.com/help/matlab/data_analysis/linear-regression.html
You can write your predictor variables as a matrix X using X = [ones(length(x1),1),x1,x2,x3,...,xn] and formulating the response variables Y as the equation Y = XB and doing a matrix inverse operation using mldivide as B = X\Y to find your regression coefficients.
Related
I want to fit a curve to my data points (x;y) that will have a formula as such:
1/y = (x^-1)*a + b
At first I wanna do this using Octave but later I have to code this into microcontroller using c.
A quick search on google and matlab documentation don't give an anwesr I can't find a function that do polyfit with elements with negative order.
Is there a special set of function for such operation or do I have to somehow transfer my formula to fit into standard math problem ?
Your unknowns are aand b which are both linear in your problem. So you can use the 1st order polynomial fitting. It is already in the form of a standard math problem. To see just rename
Y = a*X + b
with the known data vectors (or points)
Y = 1/y
X = 1/x
Thats all.
I have the following equation:
I want to do a exponential curve fitting using MATLAB for the above equation, where y = f(u,a). y is my output while (u,a) are my inputs. I want to find the coefficients A,B for a set of provided data.
I know how to do this for simple polynomials by defining states. As an example, if states= (ones(size(u)), u u.^2), this will give me L+Mu+Nu^2, with L, M and N being regression coefficients.
However, this is not the case for the above equation. How could I do this in MATLAB?
Building on what #eigenchris said, simply take the natural logarithm (log in MATLAB) of both sides of the equation. If we do this, we would in fact be linearizing the equation in log space. In other words, given your original equation:
We get:
However, this isn't exactly polynomial regression. This is more of a least squares fitting of your points. Specifically, what you would do is given a set of y and set pair of (u,a) points, you would build a system of equations and solve for this system via least squares. In other words, given the set y = (y_0, y_1, y_2,...y_N), and (u,a) = ((u_0, a_0), (u_1, a_1), ..., (u_N, a_N)), where N is the number of points that you have, you would build your system of equations like so:
This can be written in matrix form:
To solve for A and B, you simply need to find the least-squares solution. You can see that it's in the form of:
Y = AX
To solve for X, we use what is called the pseudoinverse. As such:
X = A^{*} * Y
A^{*} is the pseudoinverse. This can eloquently be done in MATLAB using the \ or mldivide operator. All you have to do is build a vector of y values with the log taken, as well as building the matrix of u and a values. Therefore, if your points (u,a) are stored in U and A respectively, as well as the values of y stored in Y, you would simply do this:
x = [u.^2 a.^3] \ log(y);
x(1) will contain the coefficient for A, while x(2) will contain the coefficient for B. As A. Donda has noted in his answer (which I embarrassingly forgot about), the values of A and B are obtained assuming that the errors with respect to the exact curve you are trying to fit to are normally (Gaussian) distributed with a constant variance. The errors also need to be additive. If this is not the case, then your parameters achieved may not represent the best fit possible.
See this Wikipedia page for more details on what assumptions least-squares fitting takes:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Least_squares#Least_squares.2C_regression_analysis_and_statistics
One approach is to use a linear regression of log(y) with respect to u² and a³:
Assuming that u, a, and y are column vectors of the same length:
AB = [u .^ 2, a .^ 3] \ log(y)
After this, AB(1) is the fit value for A and AB(2) is the fit value for B. The computation uses Matlab's mldivide operator; an alternative would be to use the pseudo-inverse.
The fit values found this way are Maximum Likelihood estimates of the parameters under the assumption that deviations from the exact equation are constant-variance normally distributed errors additive to A u² + B a³. If the actual source of deviations differs from this, these estimates may not be optimal.
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I'm going to write a program where the input is a data set of 2D points and the output is the regression coefficients of the line of best fit by minimizing the minimum MSE error.
I have some sample points that I would like to process:
X Y
1.00 1.00
2.00 2.00
3.00 1.30
4.00 3.75
5.00 2.25
How would I do this in MATLAB?
Specifically, I need to get the following formula:
y = A + Bx + e
A is the intercept and B is the slope while e is the residual error per point.
Judging from the link you provided, and my understanding of your problem, you want to calculate the line of best fit for a set of data points. You also want to do this from first principles. This will require some basic Calculus as well as some linear algebra for solving a 2 x 2 system of equations. If you recall from linear regression theory, we wish to find the best slope m and intercept b such that for a set of points ([x_1,y_1], [x_2,y_2], ..., [x_n,y_n]) (that is, we have n data points), we want to minimize the sum of squared residuals between this line and the data points.
In other words, we wish to minimize the cost function F(m,b,x,y):
m and b are our slope and intercept for this best fit line, while x and y are a vector of x and y co-ordinates that form our data set.
This function is convex, so there is an optimal minimum that we can determine. The minimum can be determined by finding the derivative with respect to each parameter, and setting these equal to 0. We then solve for m and b. The intuition behind this is that we are simultaneously finding m and b such that the cost function is jointly minimized by these two parameters. In other words:
OK, so let's find the first quantity :
We can drop the factor 2 from the derivative as the other side of the equation is equal to 0, and we can also do some distribution of terms by multiplying the -x_i term throughout:
Next, let's tackle the next parameter :
We can again drop the factor of 2 and distribute the -1 throughout the expression:
Knowing that is simply n, we can simplify the above to:
Now, we need to simultaneously solve for m and b with the above two equations. This will jointly minimize the cost function which finds the best line of fit for our data points.
Doing some re-arranging, we can isolate m and b on one side of the equations and the rest on the other sides:
As you can see, we can formulate this into a 2 x 2 system of equations to solve for m and b. Specifically, let's re-arrange the two equations above so that it's in matrix form:
With regards to above, we can decompose the problem by solving a linear system: Ax = b. All you have to do is solve for x, which is x = A^{-1}*b. To find the inverse of a 2 x 2 system, given the matrix:
The inverse is simply:
Therefore, by substituting our quantities into the above equation, we solve for m and b in matrix form, and it simplifies to this:
Carrying out this multiplication and solving for m and b individually, this gives:
As such, to find the best slope and intercept to best fit your data, you need to calculate m and b using the above equations.
Given your data specified in the link in your comments, we can do this quite easily:
%// Define points
X = 1:5;
Y = [1 2 1.3 3.75 2.25];
%// Get total number of points
n = numel(X);
% // Define relevant quantities for finding quantities
sumxi = sum(X);
sumyi = sum(Y);
sumxiyi = sum(X.*Y);
sumxi2 = sum(X.^2);
sumyi2 = sum(Y.^2);
%// Determine slope and intercept
m = (sumxi * sumyi - n*sumxiyi) / (sumxi^2 - n*sumxi2);
b = (sumxiyi * sumxi - sumyi * sumxi2) / (sumxi^2 - n*sumxi2);
%// Display them
disp([m b])
... and we get:
0.4250 0.7850
Therefore, the line of best fit that minimizes the error is:
y = 0.4250*x + 0.7850
However, if you want to use built-in MATLAB tools, you can use polyfit (credit goes to Luis Mendo for providing the hint). polyfit determines the line (or nth order polynomial curve rather...) of best fit by linear regression by minimizing the sum of squared errors between the best fit line and your data points. How you call the function is so:
coeff = polyfit(x,y,order);
x and y are the x and y points of your data while order determines the order of the line of best fit you want. As an example, order=1 means that the line is linear, order=2 means that the line is quadratic and so on. Essentially, polyfit fits a polynomial of order order given your data points. Given your problem, order=1. As such, given the data in the link, you would simply do:
X = 1:5;
Y = [1 2 1.3 3.75 2.25];
coeff = polyfit(X,Y,1)
coeff =
0.4250 0.7850
The way coeff works is that these are the coefficients of the regression line, starting from the highest order in decreasing value. As such, the above coeff variable means that the regression line was fitted as:
y = 0.4250*x + 0.7850
The first coefficient is the slope while the second coefficient is the intercept. You'll also see that this matches up with the link you provided.
If you want a visual representation, here's a plot of the data points as well as the regression line that best fits these points:
plot(X, Y, 'r.', X, polyval(coeff, X));
Here's the plot:
polyval takes an array of coefficients (usually produced by polyfit), and you provide a set of x co-ordinates and it calculates what the y values are given the values of x. Essentially, you are evaluating what the points are along the best fit line.
Edit - Extending to higher orders
If you want to extend so that you're finding the best fit for any nth order polynomial, I won't go into the details, but it boils down to constructing the following linear system. Given the relationship for the ith point between (x_i, y_i):
You would construct the following linear system:
Basically, you would create a vector of points y, and you would construct a matrix X such that each column denotes taking your vector of points x and applying a power operation to each column. Specifically, the first column is the zero-th power, the first column is the first power, the second column is the second power and so on. You would do this up until m, which is the order polynomial you want. The vector of e would be the residual error for each point in your set.
Specifically, the formulation of the problem can be written in matrix form as:
Once you construct this matrix, you would find the parameters by least-squares by calculating the pseudo-inverse. How the pseudo-inverse is derived, you can read it up on the Wikipedia article I linked to, but this is the basis for minimizing a system by least-squares. The pseudo-inverse is the backbone behind least-squares minimization. Specifically:
(X^{T}*X)^{-1}*X^{T} is the pseudo-inverse. X itself is a very popular matrix, which is known as the Vandermonde matrix and MATLAB has a command called vander to help you compute that matrix. A small note is that vander in MATLAB is returned in reverse order. The powers decrease from m-1 down to 0. If you want to have this reversed, you'd need to call fliplr on that output matrix. Also, you will need to append one more column at the end of it, which is the vector with all of its elements raised to the mth power.
I won't go into how you'd repeat your example for anything higher order than linear. I'm going to leave that to you as a learning exercise, but simply construct the vector y, the matrix X with vander, then find the parameters by applying the pseudo-inverse of X with the above to solve for your parameters.
Good luck!
I am doing a project where i find an approximation of the Sine function, using the Least Squares method. Also i can use 12 values of my own choice.Since i couldn't figure out how to solve it i thought of using Taylor's series for Sine and then solving it as a polynomial of order 5. Here is my code :
%% Find the sine of the 12 known values
x=[0,pi/8,pi/4,7*pi/2,3*pi/4,pi,4*pi/11,3*pi/2,2*pi,5*pi/4,3*pi/8,12*pi/20];
y=zeros(12,1);
for i=1:12
y=sin(x);
end
n=12;
j=5;
%% Find the sums to populate the matrix A and matrix B
s1=sum(x);s2=sum(x.^2);
s3=sum(x.^3);s4=sum(x.^4);
s5=sum(x.^5);s6=sum(x.^6);
s7=sum(x.^7);s8=sum(x.^8);
s9=sum(x.^9);s10=sum(x.^10);
sy=sum(y);
sxy=sum(x.*y);
sxy2=sum( (x.^2).*y);
sxy3=sum( (x.^3).*y);
sxy4=sum( (x.^4).*y);
sxy5=sum( (x.^5).*y);
A=[n,s1,s2,s3,s4,s5;s1,s2,s3,s4,s5,s6;s2,s3,s4,s5,s6,s7;
s3,s4,s5,s6,s7,s8;s4,s5,s6,s7,s8,s9;s5,s6,s7,s8,s9,s10];
B=[sy;sxy;sxy2;sxy3;sxy4;sxy5];
Then at matlab i get this result
>> a=A^-1*B
a =
-0.0248
1.2203
-0.2351
-0.1408
0.0364
-0.0021
However when i try to replace the values of a in the taylor series and solve f.e t=pi/2 i get wrong results
>> t=pi/2;
fun=t-t^3*a(4)+a(6)*t^5
fun =
2.0967
I am doing something wrong when i replace the values of a matrix in the Taylor series or is my initial thought flawed ?
Note: i can't use any built-in function
If you need a least-squares approximation, simply decide on a fixed interval that you want to approximate on and generate some x abscissae on that interval (possibly equally spaced abscissae using linspace - or non-uniformly spaced as you have in your example). Then evaluate your sine function at each point such that you have
y = sin(x)
Then simply use the polyfit function (documented here) to obtain least squares parameters
b = polyfit(x,y,n)
where n is the degree of the polynomial you want to approximate. You can then use polyval (documented here) to obtain the values of your approximation at other values of x.
EDIT: As you can't use polyfit you can generate the Vandermonde matrix for the least-squares approximation directly (the below assumes x is a row vector).
A = ones(length(x),1);
x = x';
for i=1:n
A = [A x.^i];
end
then simply obtain the least squares parameters using
b = A\y;
You can clearly optimise the clumsy Vandermonde generation loop above I have just written to illustrate the concept. For better numerical stability you would also be better to use a nice orthogonal polynomial system like Chebyshev polynomials of the first kind. If you are not even allowed to use the matrix divide \ function then you will need to code up your own implementation of a QR factorisation and solve the system that way (or some other numerically stable method).
Is it possible to compute the numerical hessian matrix for this function with respect to W_i,C, epsilon_i easily Matlab? I have computed a hessian by manually take a derivative, but I want to verify if my result is correct.
W = Nx1;
X = NxM;
X_i = Nx1;
y = 1xM;
C = 1x1;
DERIVEST on the file exchange has a function for doing this. There are also tips for doing this eg in Section 18 of this tutorial, or many other places.